128 well-hit against his heater (average is. 198 batting average against and sterling. 164 on the slider (110 ABs.) League average vs. 615 slugging percentage on breaking pitches (.615 in 122 ABs) league average is. I would not trade anything well beyond replacement value for Quintana. The trouble is that Quintana is still unbelievably 93% owned when he should probably have been dropped already in half our leagues. So we finally have a recommendation, sort of. You have to figure on his wins rebounding if he can figure out a way to again pitch more effectively deeper into games. He’s won just one of six starts in that period. Of course, his walk rate has to come down, too, since the end of May but not down far enough. So if anyone on this list is a good bet to bounce back in the second half, it’s him. Quintana has been effective later in games recently and he is effective earlier in games this season. Last year, Quintana’s OBP allowed third-time through the lineup was. Quintana’s keeping bad company at the bottom, too, with Jake Odorizzi, Andrew Cashner, Tyler Mahle and Jakob Junis also pulling up the rear. 323 OBP (remember, if you’re getting to the lineup a third time you probably are pitching well to begin with and much better than a. Quintana’s major problem is getting through the lineup a third time. Would you take two negative statements instead? Cubs’ Jose Quintana (negative value) I hate that I’m I have nothing positive to say about these disappointments. The odds of Godley finding fastball command in season are slim. This creates hitter counts and Godley has allowed 79 at bats when hitters are ahead in the count and he’s sixth-worst in allowing a. I hate pitchers who can’t control the fastball and Godley’s rate of strikes with the pitch is just 59% compared with the average of 65%. Last year, he was missing more bats though. 169 well-hit allowed (average for the period is about. Last year, this was a problem, too, with a. Diamondbacks’ Zack Godley (negative value) So the bet here is that that the strikeout problems continue while the ERA rises to expected levels: in other words, Arrieta will be worse going forward. He’s inducing a lot of double plays and generally pitching effectively around his contact woes. Every one of Arrieta’s four offerings is down in swing-and-miss rate. He just can’t miss bats - just 14% of strikes are swings that miss (average is 17%). He gets two strikes regularly but his rate of punch outs after them (34.8%) is 10th worst. That of course drags down his averages, too. Phillies’ Jake Arrieta ($4)Īrrieta has a terrible strikeout rate relative to expectations. So Keuchel’s key pitch is no longer dominant by any measure. And he’s falling behind more than the other trailers who average only 53 balls put in play on these counts. When he falls behind, opponents are hitting. Overall, the sinker is not working as well, with a. His groundball rate is just good (56.5%) and not crazy good like last year (67.5%). Keuchel has the fifth-lowest fastball velocity at 89 mph but it’s actually faster than last year. Most of the stats courtesy of our friends at MLB stat provider Inside Edge. Specifically we’ll breakdown the five most disappointing starting pitching values, according to TGFantasy’s calculator (12-team mixed league, $260 budget, 33% on pitching). It’s not an easy task as Scott Pianowski recently dubbed it a fool’s errand. Puskar)Īfter examining the most disappointing hitters at the halfway point of the season, we’re going to dive into the starting pitcher market. Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Jake Arrieta has struggled to miss bats and fantasy owners should expect his ERA to rise in the second half.
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